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Lula tem 31%, Bolsonaro, 15%, Marina, 10%, aponta pesquisa Datafolha para 2018

Pesquisa sobre a eleiAi??A?o presidencial de 2018 tem margem de erro de 2 pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos. Instituto ouviu 4.194 eleitores entre 11 e 13 de abril.

Uma pesquisa do Instituto Datafolha foi divulgada neste domingo (15) pelo jornal “Folha de S.Paulo” com Ai??ndices de intenAi??A?o de voto para a eleiAi??A?o presidencial de 2018. Foram feitas 4.194 entrevistas entre 11 e 13 de abril, em 227 municAi??pios. A margem de erro Ai?? de 2 pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos.

Veja os resultados dos 9 cenA?rios pesquisados no 1A? turno:

CenA?rio 1 (Se Lula for candidato, Temer ficar fora da eleiAi??A?o e o MDB lanAi??ar Meirelles):

  • Lula (PT): 31%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 15%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 10%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 8%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 6%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 5%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 3%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 1%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 0
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 13%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%
CenA?rio 1 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 de abril de 2018
31311515101088665533221111111100000000131333Lula (PT)Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)Henrique Meirelles (MDB)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe05101520253035
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 2 (Se Lula for candidato, Temer concorrer Ai?? reeleiAi??A?o e Meirelles nA?o disputar):

  • Lula (PT): 30%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 15%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 10%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 8%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 6%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 5%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 3%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 1%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 1%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • Michel Temer (MDB): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 0
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 14%
  • NA?o sabe: 2%
CenA?rio 2 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
30301515101088665533111111111111000000141422Lula (PT)Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)Michel Temer (MDB)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe05101520253035
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 3 (Se Lula for candidato, e Temer, Meirelles, Rodrigo Maia e FlA?vio Rocha fciarem fora da eleiAi??A?o):

  • Lula (PT): 31%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 16%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 10%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 8%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 6%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 5%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 13%
  • NA?o sabe: 2%
CenA?rio 3 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
31311616101088665544221111000000131322Lula (PT)Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe05101520253035
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 4 (Se o PT lanAi??ar Fernando Haddad no lugar de Lula, Temer fcar fora da eleiAi??A?o e o MDB lanAi??ar Meirelles):

  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 9%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 7%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 5%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 2%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%
CenA?rio 4 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
171715159999775522222211111111000000232333Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Haddad (PT)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)Henrique Meirelles (MDB)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe02,557,51012,51517,52022,525
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 5 (Se o PT lanAi??ar Fernando Haddad no lugar de Lula, Temer concorrer Ai?? reeleiAi??A?o e Meirelles nA?o disputar):

  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 9%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 7%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT): 2%
  • Michel Temer (MDB): 2%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 24%
  • NA?o sabe: 4%
CenA?rio 5 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
171715159999774422222222111111110000242444Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Fernando Haddad (PT)Michel Temer (MDB)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe051015202530
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 6 (Se o PT lanAi??ar Fernando Haddad no lugar de Lula, e Temer, Meirelles, Rodrigo Maia e FlA?vio Rocha ficarem fora da eleiAi??A?o):

  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 10%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 8%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 5%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 3%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 1%
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 4%
CenA?rio 6 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
17171515101099885533222211111100232344Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Haddad (PT)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe02,557,51012,51517,52022,525
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 7 (Se o PT lanAi??ar Jaques Wagner no lugar de Lula, Temer ficar fora da eleiAi??A?o e o MBD lanAi??ar Meirelles):

  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 9%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 8%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 3%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB): 1%
  • Jaques Wagner (PT): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 4%
CenA?rio 7 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
171715159999884433221111111111110000232344Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)oaquim Barbosa (PSB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)Henrique Meirelles (MDB)Jaques Wagner (PT)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/NuloNA?o sabe02,557,51012,51517,52022,525
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 8 (Se o PT lanAi??ar Jaques Wagner no lugar de Lula, Temer concorrer Ai?? reeleiAi??A?o e Meirelles nA?o disputar):

  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 9%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 7%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • Michel Temer (MDB): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • Jaques Wagner (PT): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%
CenA?rio 8 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
171715159999774422221111111111000000232344Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)Michel Temer (MDB)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)Jaques Wagner (PT)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe02,557,51012,51517,52022,525
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rio 9 (Se o PT e Temer ficarem fora da eleiAi??A?o):

  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
  • Marina Silva (Rede): 16%
  • Joaquim Barbosa (PSB): 9%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 8%
  • Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
  • Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B): 2%
  • Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB): 1%
  • FlA?vio Rocha (PRB): 1%
  • Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 1%
  • JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo): 1%
  • Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): 0
  • Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): 0
  • Em branco / nulo / nenhum: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%
CenA?rio 9 – 1A? turno
Pesquisa de intenAi??A?o de voto (em %) 13 abr. 2018
1717161699998844222211111111110000232333Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)Marina Silva (Rede)Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)Ciro Gomes (PDT)Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)Alvaro Dias (Podemos)Manuela D’A?vila (PC do B)Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC)Henrique Meirelles (MDB)FlA?vio Rocha (PRB)Rodrigo Maia (DEM)Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)JoA?o AmoA?do (Novo)Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC)Afif Domingos (PSD)Branco/nuloNA?o sabe02,557,51012,51517,52022,525
Fonte: Datafolha

CenA?rios pesquisados para o 2A? turno:

CenA?rio 1 (se Lula for candidato e chegar ao 2A? turno):

  • Lula (PT): 48%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 31%
  • Branco/nulo: 19%
  • NA?o sabe: 1%

CenA?rio 2 (se Lula for candidato e chegar ao 2A? turno):

  • Lula (PT): 48%
  • Alckmin (PSDB): 27%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 1%

CenA?rio 3 (se Lula for candidato e chegar ao 2A? turno):

CenA?rio 4 (se o PT lanAi??ar Fernando Haddad no lugar de Lula):

  • Bolsonaro (PSL): 37%
  • Haddad (PT): 26%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 33%
  • NA?o sabe: 4%

CenA?rio 5 (se o PT lanAi??ar Fernando Haddad no lugar de Lula):

  • Alckmin (PSDB): 37%
  • Haddad (PT): 21%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 38%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%

CenA?rio 6 (se o PT lanAi??ar Jaques Wagner no lugar de Lula):

  • Bolsonaro (PSL): 39%
  • Jaques (PT): 23%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 35%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%

CenA?rio 7 (se o PT lanAi??ar Jaques Wagner no lugar de Lula):

  • Alckmin (PSDB): 41%
  • Jaques (PT): 17%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 39%
  • NA?o sabe: 4%

CenA?rio 8 (se Marina chegar ao 2A? turno):

  • Marina (Rede): 44%
  • Bolsonaro (PSL): 31%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 23%
  • NA?o sabe: 2%

CenA?rio 9 (se Marina chegar ao 2A? turno):

  • Marina (Rede): 44%
  • Alckmin (PSDB): 27%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 27%
  • NA?o sabe: 2%

CenA?rio 10 (se Ciro chegar ao 2A? turno):

  • Ciro (PDT): 35%
  • Bolsonaro (PSL): 35%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 28%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%

CenA?rio 11 (se Ciro chegar ao 2A? turno):

  • Ciro (PDT): 32%
  • Alckmin (PSDB): 32%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 33%
  • NA?o sabe: 3%

CenA?rio 12 (se a esquerda ficar de fora do 2A? turno):

  • Alckmin (PSDB): 33%
  • Bolsonaro (PSL): 32%
  • Em branco/Nulo: 32%
  • NA?o sabe: 2%Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Ai?? Fonte G1

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